Ok, not about the predictions, but what is it with them standing in the middle of the frame so you cant see what that are talking about behind them.
More of the "its all about me generation". Do they think I am watching the weather to see them and not the forecast ?
Just watching the forcast.....er the person standing in front of the forcast.
bluebarchetta said:I have a foolproof way of predicting summer weather. If I drive the van to work, there is 0% chance of storms. If I drive the Miata, there is 50% chance of storms. And if I ride the motorcycle, there is 90% chance of storms. Never fails.
It seems to always rain for the Import Show at Carlisle in May. The pandemic has moved the event to August 14-16. August is typically pretty dry. You're damn right I'm still bring rain gear this year.
About the daughter mowing the 10 acres and it rained.
The clouds didn't give a hint ?
lrrs said:Ok, not about the predictions, but what is it with them standing in the middle of the frame so you cant see what that are talking about behind them.
More of the "its all about me generation". Do they think I am watching the weather to see them and not the forecast ?
Just watching the forcast.....er the person standing in front of the forcast.
I have no idea.....
This of course is Mexico, but Los Angeles at least is not that different.
TLDR
Bitch and moan all you want.
Bottom line, meteorology is one of the most difficult things to model that's worth modeling. Meteorologist are basically statisticians and if not us, who else???
Would you prefer to get your guidance from that creepy guy down the street...if so, knock yourself out.
Sorry but not sorry, the math is really, really hard...we're doing the best we can but it's WILDLY complicated...blow us off and go with the creepy guy down the street, we're Ok with that.
Signed,
Not a meteorologist, just a general math guy that knows what our limitations are and wants to make sure everyone knows what we're capable of (and what we're not capable of).
The American Geophysical Union says that the huge reduction in commercial flights during the pandemic has reduced the accuracy of weather prediction because of the reduction in data collected by the planes that would normally get fed into the modeling programs.
When I am looking for a forecast I only care about big storms and most importantly wind conditions. They don't seem to be accurate enough for any other purpose than choosing when I should or shouldn't go sailing.
Mostly what I care about is if the wind is forecasted to shift around to the east, and generally what direction it is coming from. East winds always make for light, shifty, tricky sailing.
This weekend 4 days in a row the wind forecasted early in the week was nearly right on target using the Windfinder.com app for most all of the daytime hours Thursday through Sunday.
RX Reven' said:TLDR
Bitch and moan all you want.
Bottom line, meteorology is one of the most difficult things to model that's worth modeling. Meteorologist are basically statisticians and if not us, who else???
Would you prefer to get your guidance from that creepy guy down the street...if so, knock yourself out.
Sorry but not sorry, the math is really, really hard...we're doing the best we can but it's WILDLY complicated...blow us off and go with the creepy guy down the street, we're Ok with that.
Signed,
Not a meteorologist, just a general math guy that knows what our limitations are and wants to make sure everyone knows what we're capable of (and what we're not capable of).
Not bitching and moaning about meteorologists, I'm praising them. Back in the 80s-90s you could count on a man in a suit looking at radar, baro deltas, and clouds in the sky for a pretty accurate forecast. Now the computers are messing it all up.
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