Toyman01 wrote: That study is 5 years old. I'd be interested in seeing what the last 5 years looks like. As someone who drives every day, all day, texting has gone through the roof. I end up blowing the horn at a texter at least once a day.
The study is exactly what the OP was asking about though. The decline of basic automotive knowledge, and ever increasing electronic driving aids, over the last 30 years is obviously not having any directly correlated adverse effect on the rate of accidents occurring.
But I too was curious about the past few years, and wanted to see what the actual numbers were for prior years as well. From the NHTSA data I compiled, as of 1990 you could expect 302 total accidents per hundred million vehicle miles driven. By 1995 that dropped to 276. Falling to 233 in 2000. Then to 206 in 2005. And to 183 in 2010. Hitting a low of 181 in 2011. In 2012 and 2013 the numbers increased to 189 and 192 respectively. Unfortunately the 2014 data does not appear to be available yet. To me this mostly reinforces the notion that drivers are less likely to get into an accident in recent years than historically...Even without knowing what to do in a bunch of increasingly rare scenarios.
And while there aren't enough increasing data points to be considered statistically significant yet, noting that there was also a minor 2 year increase in 1994 and 1995 on an otherwise decreasing trend, but that there is definitely the possibility that technology based distracted driving may be leading to some degree of increased rate of accidents in recent years. However, the numbers indicate that it's nowhere near as bad as people like to make it out to be regarding the resultant actual rate accidents occurring. As of 2013, you were still less likely to be in an accident per mile driven than at any reasonable point of comparison prior to 2009.
And my dryer is red...So, you know it drys the fastest!