Your bet would be wrong. I'm still trying to see if I can find the text of the full report, as I'm curious. I've found excerpts. Here's the biggest part of it:
http://www.hse.gov.uk/pubns/sir59.pdf <- start at page 102, and note the much more complete graphs from the testing on page 105.
From the synopsis of the report:
"Comparative data on strength retained after outdoor exposure in Florida for periods ranging from 1 to 36 months are presented. The effects of different exposure conditions and fibre characteristics on the outdoor durability for direct and ‘under glass’ exposures are illustrated"
Still, not laboratory 24/7 exposure. Even under glass, which cuts exposure.
"After twelve months of exposure, the test items exposed under glass retained more strength than duplicate items exposed to direct sunlight. This was expected since the shorter, more harmful, ultraviolet rays are filtered out of sunlight by ordinary window glass."
Interesting - given the choice, go for a bright shiny color.
"The light resistance of a virtually all fibres dramatically improves when black pigment is dispersed in the polymer during fibre manufacture. Conversely, the light resistance of many fibres decreases when the amount of delustrant added during fibre manufacture is increased. Thus, bright fibres are usually more durable than semi-dull fibres which, in turn, are more durable than dull fibres. The effect of delustrants is very evident with nylon fibres, but is minimal with dacron polyester fibres."
Have a look at an SFI or FIA harness against a factory belt sometime. This would seem to imply that the big coarse thread used in harnesses should be superior to the fine stuff used in seatbelts in terms of UV resistance.
"The light resistance of a yarn increases with the denier of the individual filaments, probably because less radiation penetrates into the interior of the fibre. DuPont experience and tests show that this also applies to ropes where the outer layer of fibres apparently shield the inner fibres from radiation damage. For ordinary textile products, neither the size of the yarn nor the thickness of the fabric appear to have a significant effect on light resistance - possibly because none of the individual filaments is completely buried within the yarn or fabric."
Is this test representative of all race cars? Of course not. It's a good thing, or Nylon belts (note the trademark, Dupont tested a Dupont product, so you know Dupont wants to make it look bad) would be down to 13% of the original strength. Is two days of use in an 18 month period representative of all race cars? No, of course not.
If the guys who do the science to develop and test materials are too biased, I suggest you trade off the tinfoil hat for a white coat. Get on it, develop some new data. How do you propose we test for the degradation of materials? The problem, of course, is that not all vehicles are treated the same way. The standards boards - who are there to protect drivers - have to come up with something. How SFI came up with 2 years and FIA came up with 5, I don't know exactly. They're probably conservative and assume the car will be treated reasonably well, but you can't assume every race car gets stored inside permanently. The suggestion of a UV tag is a pretty good one, if that's the primary concern.
We all know tires degrade over time, even if Aunt Sally still has the original rubber on her 1990 Accord, and that helmets degrade, which is why Uncle Rob's old race helmet from 1966 is always full of that brown dust. Why do some people refuse to accept the same about belts?