tuna55 said:mtn said:Toyman01 + Sized and said:In reply to mtn :
The difference being, I think it's funny.
If SC hits 50% I'll be amazed. A large part of the population didn't care before the vaccine. They still don't.
Masks are a thing of the past. Half the population isn't getting vaccinated. The numbers keep dropping. It's quite funny.
You think it is funny. I think it is sad.
We'll see if the numbers keep dropping, in a look back 4-8 weeks from now. If vaccine uptake gets better, I expect them to fall. These vaccines are one of the few miracles that most people have ever seen. It is literally staring us in the face, and too many people are ignoring it. John 11:35.
Same. Mortality rates around 2% for us (https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality) and everyone goes "oh boo hoo only a 98% chance you'll survive."
People don't understand statistics or probability. A 2% chance that you lose electricity that day means you'll be without electricity for over a week every year. People would be rioting. A 2% chance you'll die of a seasonal flu would mean that you're almost certain to die of the flu in your lifetime. We'd all stop driving if we had a 2% chance of dying in traffic accidents (fatalities would go from 33K to 120K annually).
I'm in SC and I do not get it. The same guy walks into a gas station to buy food, stops for a McRib on the way home, smokes a pack a day, and won't take a vaccine because he doesn't know what's in it.
I'll confess, I know nothing about statistics. But every one of these examples seems fundamentally flawed and distorted.
If there is a 2% chance my electricity is out today, there is the same chance tomorrow. And the day after. If I go 99 days without a power loss, my odds of a power loss on the 100th day does not jump to 100%. It's still 2%.
If I flip a coin 9 times and get tails each time, the odds of the tenth flip being heads is still 50%.
An infinite number of monkeys will NEVER reproduce any work of Shakespeare, because they will repeat the same errors an infinite number of times
I will also confess that I live in SC.
