Ruh Ro: Hurricane Time

In reply to Mazdax605 :

They should be concerned. Going home to something that won't have power for a week or more is a bad idea. It would be good to call a neighbor before they head south. 

The latest updates aren't very encouraging for those of us up the coast. This could end up being a 500 mile mess. 

Our college announced that they are going to be closed on Tuesday and Wednesday.  We're in the middle of the state, so things are not going to be as dire as at GRM HQ, but we are still taking it seriously.

I am out of propane. 1000 gallons in under 24 hours. I still shockingly have a handful of generators. I just got a fresh load of plylocks. I won't get more sand  bags. Personally i've been ready for two weeks or better. watching everyone else freak out has been entertaining. 

I was Supposed to fly down Tuesday and help my grandmother move from Ocala to NC, but we moved it back a few days. I guess on the bright side, if everything gets destroyed before then, it will make loading/unloading the Uhaul easier (humor is an acceptable coping mechanism).

In reply to Mazdax605 :

They wont be home wednesday. They’ll be driving through the storm wednesday(based on the current forecast that is..). Id strongly advise them to wait as long as possible.  And bring all the full gas cans they can fit. 

One of the 3 back to back hurricanes we had in 04 or 05, i went to Savannah to wait it out then wanted to come home asap. I got on it a little too early. Ended up meeting the storm in Jacksonville. Driving my old lifted 4x4 getting like 12 MPG on bald mud tires. And since i didnt realize the storm was there, i missed my last chance for gas.  Somehow made it home. Saw some scary stuff. Not worth it. 

Mazdax605 said:

My in-laws moved to Dunnellon, FL (near Ocala) in Jan. They are up here in MA visiting, and grabbing my FIL's old Ford Falcon. I keep telling them that they should be concerned, but they keep saying the are on the west coast, and it's no big deal. I think it is a big deal even though it's hitting the East coast. It will still affect the other side as FL isn't that wide,correct? They're driving home around Wednesday. Hopefully not to a wrecked double-wide.

I'd tell them to hold off on returning. Wednesday seems like a great day to drive right into hurricane winds. 

Edit TJL beat me so count this as a second vote. 

From all of us "up north", you all be safe now.

We’re 6-hours from Gainesville, but if anyone needs to GTFO we have a spare bed, 2-couches & an air mattress - you just have to promise that Dorian doesn’t follow you here...

Also, should we start a separate “check-in” thread for all the FL peeps post-storm, or just continue this one?

This storm is drunk.

Last night they changed it to coming right up the coast, this morning a little more favorable, off the coast more. Were gonna get something either way, between tropical storm force winds or a cat 4. I dont like not knowing, This hast been good for my sleep or my nerves. 

We're Berkeleyed, just maybe not as badly. The factors that are steering the storm become highly unpredictable as it nears Florida. 

Although the track is shifting east, it's still highly uncertain, and sure to cause massive damage.

Toyman01 said:

The latest updates aren't very encouraging for those of us up the coast. This could end up being a 500 mile mess. 

Hoping it continues to turn out to see but not looking good for you on the latest track. 

In reply to Floating Doc :

I've never seen anything like the light green track.  Let's hope that one doesn't happen.

Since I can't get the stupid GIF to embed properly:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/

Earlier forecasts showed the center of the storm moving right over Tampa but it looks like it will turn north and graze the east coast. But who knows. Dorian is definitely drunk.

The revised track has my attention. I’ll keep an eye on it still plenty of time. 

I'm just below Palm Beach so the farther North and East the better for me. Soooo happy to see the possible shift today.

NOT A TA said:

I'm just below Palm Beach so the farther North and East the better for me. Soooo happy to see the possible shift today.

Yeah, looking good for you. Looks horrible for the Bahamas. Today we're cleaning up the yard and preparing everything. I'm now not as worried about losing the roof, but still getting ready for a mess. 

And our local airports are closing. 

kazoospec said:

In reply to Floating Doc :

I've never seen anything like the light green track.  Let's hope that one doesn't happen.

It's not as rare as you would think; I've seen a few loop around like that. 

While they usually wander aimlessly out in the Atlantic where no one's paying attention, I remember one tropical system that crossed the state twice.

Send that thing up here.  We could use some rain.

The current predictions don't look much better for us at this exact moment, but the trend is heading in a good direction. As we saw with Matthew a few years ago, a hurricane that never makes landfall can still cause a lot of damage. For the east coast, even a difference of 20-30 miles can make a huge difference. Would you rather be on the strong side of a category 1 or 2 hurricane, or on the weak side of a cat 4 monster that's still being fed by the ocean?

And there's still a fairly good chance that this thing misses us altogether and I sit here feeling like a chump after prepping and canceling Nationals plans. And, yeah, very relieved, but still with a perverse sense of bitterness. 

slefain said:

Ian F said:

"Next on GRM Live - More Hurricane prep tips from JG!" 

But how do you batten down a parrot?

Just point them into the wind and everything else kind of works out.

Some gogles also help. 

Governor of SC just declared a state of emergency. 

In reply to SVreX :

Same one that declared an evacuation in a county days before landfall and it ended up not hitting them?