codrus (Forum Supporter) said:
Curtis73 (Forum Supporter) said:
No one
is coming
to take
your ICE
This is a bit disingenous. Sure, they're not taking the ones you own now, but they are taking away your ability to buy replacements. https://caredge.com/guides/states-banning-ice-cars
Of course they're taking away your ability to replace an ICE vehicle. Just like you can't go to a Ford dealer and order up a brand new 59 Fairlane. In 1971 you lost the ability to buy a new car without emissions equipment and the automotive world lost its mind. In the late 80s you lost the ability to buy a new car with a carburetor and doomsday-ers were furious because EFI is too complex and the world will end. In 1996 you lost the ability to purchase a new car without OBD2 and people lost their marbles because it was government spying. This stuff happens on varying levels of magnitude every couple years. Big things change all the time, and it's a nothingburger. In all of those above situations, it changed absolutely nothing about the cars you had before the shift.
The change to EV is no different. In every step of the way when big changes happen to the automotive industry, half of the people assume it's the apocalypse, half embrace it, and you know what happened every single time? Nothing. It was a primarily seamless change EVERY TIME. No one died because you couldn't buy a replacement carburetted car. No one was injured when they took away your ability to replace an OBD1 vehicle. They just begrudgingly bought the new tech when they had to and realized that it's not a big deal. If adding emissions laws to new cars in 72 was so apocalyptic, why is the carburetor industry still a multi-billion dollar industry a half century later?
The only big change to the automotive industry that irked me was that as of 1998 I could no longer buy a new B-body GM. I look forward to the day when all new cars are EV. First, because I want to be able to not destroy the planet, and secondly, it's exciting to forge ahead into new tech for me. Remember how the entire nation felt when we walked on the moon? Remember when we broke the sound barrier? Remember the first time the space shuttle landed safely back on the ground? The important thing to note here is that I won't be one of the EV owners for a long time and it won't affect me a bit. I won't be able to afford an EV for probably a decade or more unless my income changes dramatically. I'm squarely in the "buy a used heap for $2500 and keep it running as long as I can" camp. I'm not worried one speck about it. I will die and there will still be millions of ICEs on the road for a hundred years after I'm worm feces.
We can't start assuming that "all new cars will be EV" will have any impact on ICE. At all. It won't affect ICE any more than 1972 emissions laws affected how many 60s muscle cars were (and still are) on the road. We all came through emissions, EFI, OBD, seat belts, airbags, ABS, catalysts, DEF and DPF, EGR, lane departure warnings, radial tires, tubeless tires, TPMS, CHMSL, child safety seats... you name it, we've seen it. Every time people are afraid the sky will fall... and it never does.